Who’s Ruling India’s EV Bus Market in 2025

Greaves Electric Mobility

India’s public transportation landscape is experiencing a dramatic transformation as four titans battle for control of the rapidly expanding electric bus market. With the sector surging from USD 367-753 million in 2024 to potentially USD 2.4 billion by 2030 at a 21.6% CAGR, this represents one of India’s most lucrative clean mobility battlegrounds.

The first nine months of 2025 revealed intense competition, where PMI Electro Mobility, Olectra Greentech, Switch Mobility, and JBM Auto collectively commanded 82.8% of total sales with 2,644 units. Leadership shifts dramatically month-to-month, driven by tender-based procurement cycles that define this government-dominated market.

The Market Catalyst

India’s electric bus revolution is mandate-driven, fueled by interlocking government initiatives creating unprecedented demand certainty. The PM e-Bus Sewa scheme targets deployment of 38,000+ electric buses, while PM E-DRIVE’s ₹10,900 crore allocation ensures sustained procurement momentum. Despite this policy tailwind, high upfront costs (₹2-3 crore per bus versus ₹1 crore for diesel) and payment delays from State Transport Undertakings remain formidable obstacles.

Sales Performance Analysis

Table 1: Cumulative E-Bus Sales (January-September 2025)

OEMTotal Sales (Units)Market Share of Top 4 (%)Overall Market Share (%)
PMI Electro Mobility73427.8%23.0%
Olectra Greentech70626.7%22.1%
Switch Mobility69426.2%21.7%
JBM Auto51019.3%16.0%
Total (Top 4)2,644100%82.8%

Competition remains extraordinarily tight, with the top three separated by mere 28 units—demonstrating how individual tender wins can reshape market leadership.

Strategic Positioning

Table 2: Strategic Comparison of E-Bus Leaders

FeatureOlectra GreentechPMI Electro MobilitySwitch MobilityJBM Auto
Key StrategyBYD technology partnershipGCC execution excellenceLegacy leverage, niche productsMassive vertical integration
Order Book~10,000+ units~3,000 units~1,500+ units~11,000+ units
Manufacturing Capacity5,000 units/year3,000 units/yearNot disclosed20,000 units/year
Key DifferentiatorExclusive BYD tech accessProven H1 2025 executionElectric double-decker capabilityLargest production capacity

PMI Electro Mobility leads through superior execution in tender-driven markets. Olectra Greentech leverages BYD’s Blade Battery technology promising 500-kilometer range. Switch Mobility offers India’s only electric double-decker bus while benefiting from Ashok Leyland’s stability. JBM Auto pursues scale dominance with 20,000-unit annual capacity—the world’s largest outside China.

The Verdict

The question “Who rules India’s e-bus market?” reveals four distinct pathways to potential dominance. PMI has mastered consistent execution, Olectra bets on technological superiority, Switch leverages institutional stability and niche innovation, while JBM pursues the scale thesis through unprecedented manufacturing capabilities.

In a market projected to reach USD 2.4 billion by 2030, success will be determined by execution consistency rather than technological superiority alone. The ultimate victor will likely be the company that can simultaneously master government relationship management, achieve sustainable unit economics, and scale manufacturing to meet India’s ambitious 38,000+ bus deployment timeline.

ELECTRIFYING INDIA’S LAST MILE